Voice of the Voter 2011

Monroe Cov NY 10-2011Results.doc

The poll of 500 likely Monroe County voters was conducted Oct. 17-19 for Voice of the Voter by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 4.5 percent. Voice of the Voter is a collaborative effort among the Democrat and Chronicle, WXXI (Channel 21 and AM 1370), WHAM-TV (Channel 13) and WDKX-FM (103.9). It seeks to inform citizens and give them a voice in the election process. The effort is funded by a Rochester Area Community Foundation grant.


The cross-tabulation data (click here for PDF) shows more details about the results of the poll, breaking down the responses by category such as age, gender, race, and party affiliation. Care should be taken in interpreting the cross-tabulation data because the smaller the sample, the greater the margin of error. So beware drawing large conclusions out of small data sets.


Click here to view results from the 2010 Voice of the Voter Poll.



MONROE COUNTY, NY VOTER POLL – OCTOBER 2011

QUESTION: I’m going to read a list of political candidates please tell me if you recognize the name.

Do you recognize the name _________? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________? [ROTATE ORDER]

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

NEUTRAL

DON’T RECOGNIZE

Maggie Brooks

59%

14%

26%

 1%

Sandra Frankel

24%

16%

39%

21%

Sandra Doorley

11%

 3%

24%

62%

Bill Taylor.

14%

 4%

33%

49%

QUESTION: If the election for Monroe County Executive were held today, would you vote for Sandy Frankel, the Democrat or Maggie Brooks, the Republican?

Sandra Frankel, Democrat

35%

Maggie Brooks, Republican

51%

Undecided

13%

QUESTION: If the election for Monroe County District Attorney were held today, would you vote for Sandra Doorley, the Democrat, or Bill Taylor, the Republican?

Sandra Doorley, Democrat

31%

Bill Taylor. Republican

40%

Undecided

29%


QUESTION: Now I’d like to read a brief list of public officials and institutions.  After I read each, please tell me if you would rate their job performance as excellent, good, just fair or poor? The first/next is: ___________________

[ORDER ROTATED]

EXCELLENT

GOOD

JUST FAIR

POOR

NOT SURE

Rochester Mayor Thomas Richards

 7%

44%

34%

 7%

 8%

Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks

20%

37%

28%

15%

 -

Rochester Schools Superintendent
Bolgen Vargas

 5%

24%

34%

16%

21%

President Barack Obama

16%

29%

21%

34%

 -

Governor Andrew Cuomo

21%

51%

21%

 7%

 -

New York State Assembly

 1%

18%

43%

32%

 6%

New York State Senate

 -

18%

42%

34%

 6%

United States House of Representatives

 4%

21%

32%

43%

 -

United States Senate

 3%

15%

36%

45%

 1%

Rochester School Board

 1%

14%

33%

34%

18%

Rochester City Council

 2%

21%

42%

19%

16%

Monroe County Legislature

 1%

32%

43%

16%

 8%

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that the United States is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION

27%

WRONG TRACK

69%

NOT SURE

  4%

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that New York State is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION

45%

WRONG TRACK

52%

NOT SURE

  3%

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that Monroe County is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?  

RIGHT DIRECTION

56%

WRONG TRACK

41%

NOT SURE

  3%

QUESTION: And generally, do you think that the City of Rochester is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION

43%

WRONG TRACK

55%

NOT SURE

  2%


QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important issue facing the country today? [NOT READ]

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

67%

WALL STREET/FINANCIAL CRISIS/ CREDIT/BANKING CRISIS

 2%

NATIONAL DEBT/SIZE OF GOVERNMENT/SPENDING & TAXES

16%

WARS/TERRORISM/NATIONAL SECURITY        

 5%

HEALTH CARE                            

 5%

ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION                    

 1%

MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY          

 -

MORAL & FAMILY VALUES

 1%

SOCIAL ISSUES/POVERTY

 1%

HOUSING MARKET/FORCLOSURES

 -

ENERGY AND GAS PRICES            

 -

ENVIRONMENT – GLOBAL WARMING

 -

OTHER                

 2%

DON'T KNOW/REFUSED

 1%

QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important issue facing New York State today? [NOT READ]

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS

58%

WALL STREET CRISIS – CREDIT CRISIS – BANKING CRISIS

 -

MANAGING GROWTH-SPRAWL- DEVELOPMENT

-

CRIME / DRUGS

 2%

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT/HYDROFRACKING FOR NATURAL GAS

 -

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING

23%

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES

 1%

EDUCATION ISSUES

 7%

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY

 3%

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES

 1%

HEALTH CARE

 1%

DYSFUNCTION IN ALBANY/ ETHICS/ PARTISAN POLITICS/POOR LEADERSHIP

 1%

CIVIL RIGHTS / RACE RELATIONS

 -

OTHER

 -

NOT SURE

1%

QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important local issue facing Monroe County and the City of Rochester today? [NOT READ]

EDUCATION ISSUES

19%

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS

42%

MANAGING GROWTH/SPRAWL/

 -

CRIME / DRUGS

11%

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT/HYDROFRACKING FOR NATURAL GAS

 -

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING

13%

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES

 1%

REVITALIZE/DEVELOP DOWNTOWN ROCHESTER – [SPECIFIC MENTION]

 4%

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY

 6%

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES

 -

HEALTH CARE

 -

CIVIL RIGHTS / RACE RELATIONS

 -

OTHER

 -

NOT SURE

 2%


QUESTION: How concerned are you about the security and future of your own job, or the jobs of any close family members in the Rochester area? Are you:

VERY CONCERNED

39%

SOMEWHAT CONCERNED

35%

NOT TOO CONCERNED

16%

NOT AT ALL CONCERNED

10%

QUESTION: Four years from now, would you say that your personal financial situation will be better off, worse off, or about the same?

BETTER OFF

23%

WORSE OFF

25%

ABOUT THE SAME

47%

NOT SURE

  5%

QUESTION: How would you rate economic conditions in Monroe County?

EXCELLENT

  1%

GOOD

23%

ONLY FAIR

57%

POOR

19%

UNDECIDED (NOT READ)

 -

QUESTION: Five years from now, do you think that the economy in Monroe County will be
better off, worse off, or about the same as it is today?

BETTER OFF

38%

WORSE OFF

12%

ABOUT THE SAME

45%

NOT SURE

  5%

 


QUESTION: I’m going to read a brief list of institutions, please tell me how much trust you have in each.  That is, a great deal of trust, a fair amount, not too much or not at all.

- FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

A GREAT DEAL

  6%

A FAIR AMOUNT

36%

NOT TOO MUCH

37%

NOT AT ALL

21%

NOT SURE

-

- STATE GOVERNMENT

 A GREAT DEAL

  6%

A FAIR AMOUNT

48%

NOT TOO MUCH

37%

NOT AT ALL

  9%

NOT SURE

-

- ROCHESTER CITY GOVERNMENT

A GREAT DEAL

  6%

A FAIR AMOUNT

43%

NOT TOO MUCH

37%

NOT AT ALL

 9%

NOT SURE

 5%

 - MONROE COUNTY GOVERNMENT

A GREAT DEAL

  5%

A FAIR AMOUNT

54%

NOT TOO MUCH

31%

NOT AT ALL

10%

NOT SURE

 -


QUESTION: I’m going to list the names of several “regional authorities” and “local development corporations”.  After I read the name please tell me how much confidence you have in the financial and operational management each.

- MONROE COUNTY AIRPORT AUTHORITY.

A GREAT DEAL

13%

A FAIR AMOUNT

50%

NOT TOO MUCH

21%

NOT AT ALL

12%

NOT SURE

  4%

- UPSTATE TELECOMMUNICATION CORPORATION.

A GREAT DEAL

  7%

A FAIR AMOUNT

34%

NOT TOO MUCH

18%

NOT AT ALL

  8%

NOT SURE

33%

- ROCHESTER - GENESEE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY.

A GREAT DEAL

20%

A FAIR AMOUNT

52%

NOT TOO MUCH

10%

NOT AT ALL

  7%

NOT SURE

11%

- ROCHESTER HOUSING AUTHORITY.

A GREAT DEAL

  8%

A FAIR AMOUNT

43%

NOT TOO MUCH

21%

NOT AT ALL

10%

NOT SURE

18%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose repealing the health care reform law approved by Congress and signed into law by President Obama?

SUPPORT REPEAL

50%

OPPOSE REPEAL

43%

UNDECIDED

  7%


QUESTION: How much influence will a candidate’s position on whether to keep or repeal the health care reform law have on your vote for congressional and presidential candidates in the 2012 primary and general elections?

A GREAT DEAL

48%

A FAIR AMOUNT

33%

NOT TOO MUCH

14%

NOT AT ALL

  5%

NOT SURE

 -

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose raising taxes on individuals whose income is a million dollars or more per year?

SUPPORT

62%

OPPOSE

34%

UNDECIDED

  4%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose mayoral control of the Rochester School District?

SUPPORT

38%

OPPOSE

50%

UNDECIDED

12%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose wine sales in grocery stores?

SUPPORT

51%

OPPOSE

45%

UNDECIDED

 4%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose state efforts to collect state taxes on tobacco sales in Native American reservations made to non-Native American?

SUPPORT

46%

OPPOSE

50%

UNDECIDED

 4%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose increased public funding for programs to fight childhood obesity?

SUPPORT

57%

OPPOSE

40%

UNDECIDED

  3%


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose using “Hydro-fracking” to drill for natural gas in New York State?

SUPPORT

55%

OPPOSE

35%

UNDECIDED

10%

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose allowing the Seneca Nation tribe to build and operate a casino in the city of Rochester?

SUPPORT

50%

OPPOSE

48%

UNDECIDED

  2%

QUESTION: Do you feel that budget cuts have or have not affected the quality of education your area school district?

HAVE

53%

HAVE NOT

35%

NOT SURE

12%

QUESTION: How much confidence do you have that there will be significant development in downtown Rochester within the next five years?

A GREAT DEAL

11%

A FAIR AMOUNT

31%

NOT TOO MUCH

42%

NOT AT ALL

15%

NOT SURE

  1%



Finally, just a few last questions about you and your household:

- What is your current official party voter registration?

DEMOCRAT

192

38%

REPUBLICAN

153

31%

INDEPENDENT – NON-AFFILIATED

128

26%

CONSERVATIVE PARTY

10

 2%

TEA PARTY

  1

 -

OTHER/REFUSED

16

3%

- Do you currently live within the City of Rochester, or in one of the surrounding suburbs?        

CITY ROCHESTER

139

28%

SUBURBS

361

72%

- What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HIGH SCHOOL (OR LESS)

110

22%

SOME COLLEGE

111

22%

COLLEGE GRADUATE

204

41%

GRADUATE DEGREE

74

15%

REFUSED

1

-

- What is your age?

18-34

55

11%

35-49

155

31%

50-64

163

33%

65+

 127

25%

- Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE or CAUCASIAN

425

85%

BLACK or AFRICAN-AMERICAN

 56

11%

HISPANIC or LATINO

  6

 1%

ASIAN or OTHER

  7

 1%

REFUSED

  6

 1%

- NOTE SEX:

MALE

247

49%

FEMALE

253

51%