Voice of the Voter 2010

Voice of the Voter 2010

The poll of 500 likely Monroe County voters was conducted Oct. 1-5 for Voice of the Voter by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 4.5 percent. Voice of the Voter is a collaborative effort among the Democrat and Chronicle, WXXI (Channel 21 and AM 1370), WHAM-TV (Channel 13) and WDKX-FM (103.9). It seeks to inform citizens and give them a voice in the election process. The effort is funded by a Rochester Area Community Foundation grant.

The cross-tabulation data (click here for PDF) shows more details about the results of the poll, breaking down the responses by category such as age, gender, race, and party affiliation. Care should be taken in interpreting the cross-tabulation data because the smaller the sample, the greater the margin of error. So beware drawing large conclusions out of small data sets.





QUESTION: Now I'd like to read a brief list of public officials and institutions.  After I read each, please tell me how you would rate their job performance: The first (next) is: ________. Would you rate their performance as excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

[ORDER ROTATED]


EXCELLENT


GOOD


JUST FAIR


POOR


NOT SURE

Rochester Mayor Bob Duffy

33%

47%

17%

 2%

 1%

Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks

18%

47%

25%

 9%

 1%


Rochester Schools Superintendent Jean Claude Brizard

 8%

27%

27%

21%

17%


President Barack Obama

11%

30%

25%

33%

 1%


New York State Assembly

-

 6%

21%

66%

 7%


New York State Senate

-

 7%

26%

61%

 6%


United States House of Representatives

 1%

16%

37%

40%

 6%


United States Senate

 1%

14%

40%

44%

 1%


Rochester School Board

-

12%

26%

38%

24%


Tea Party Movement

10%

20%

19%

34%

17%





QUESTION: Generally, do you think that the United States is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

 

RIGHT DIRECTION

35%

WRONG TRACK

58%

NOT SURE

  7%





QUESTION: Generally, do you think that New York State is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

 

RIGHT DIRECTION

12%

WRONG TRACK

87%

NOT SURE

 1%

 

 


QUESTION: Generally, do you think that Monroe County is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track? 

 

RIGHT DIRECTION

52%

WRONG TRACK

35%

NOT SURE

13%

 

 





QUESTION: And generally, do you think that the City of Rochester is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

 

RIGHT DIRECTION

51%

WRONG TRACK

37%

NOT SURE

12%

 

QUESTION: What is the most important issue facing the country? [NOT READ]

 

JOBS AND ECONOMY                    

59%

DEBT/SIZE OF GOVERNMENT                 

 16%

TAXES / SPENDING / BUDGET / DEFICIT                   

  6%

TERRORISM AND NATIONAL SECURITY        

  5%

HEALTH CARE                             

  4%

WALL STREET, CREDIT, BANKING CRISIS

  3%

MORAL VALUES

  1%

ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION                    

 1%

ENVIRONMENT - GLOBAL WARMING

-

MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY         

-

ENERGY AND GAS PRICES            

-

 OTHER                 

 4%

DON'T KNOW/REFUSED

 1%

 


QUESTION: What is the most important issue facing New York State? [NOT READ]

 

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS

48%

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING

40%

DYSFUNCTION IN ALBANY - ETHICS  - TROOPERGATE- PARTISAN POLITICS- POOR LEADERSHIP

 5%

EDUCATION ISSUES

 5%

WALL STREET, CREDIT, BANKING CRISIS

-

HEALTH CARE

-

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES

-

CRIME / DRUGS

-

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT- ANY MENTION

-

MANAGING GROWTH-SPRAWL- DEVELOPMENT

 -

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES

 -

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY

 -

CIVIL RIGHTS / RACE RELATIONS

-

OTHER

 1%

NOT SURE

 1%

 


QUESTION: What is the most important issue facing the Monroe County and the City of Rochester?

 

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS

46%

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING

22%

EDUCATION ISSUES

17%

CRIME / DRUGS

   9%

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES

  1%

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY

  1%

HEALTH CARE

  1%

DOWNTOWN REVITALIZATION

 -

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT- ANY MENTION

 -

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES

 -

MANAGING GROWTH-SPRAWL- DEVELOPMENT

 -

ETHICS  -  PARTISAN POLITICS- POOR LEADERSHIP

 -

CIVIL RIGHTS / RACE RELATIONS

-

OTHER

  1%

NOT SURE

  2%

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


SPLIT SAMPLE:

 


QUESTION (Version A n=252): Do you support or oppose a constitutional amendment limiting property tax increases to two and a half percent per year?

 

SUPPORT

57%

OPPOSE

29%

UNDECIDED

14%

 

 


QUESTION (Version B n=252): Do you support or oppose a constitutional amendment limiting property tax increases to two and a half percent per year
if the caps resulted in cuts to police and fire services, libraries and public schools?

 

SUPPORT

41%

OPPOSE

42%

UNDECIDED

17%


     QUESTION:

 How concerned are you about the security and future of your own job, or the jobs of any close family members in the Rochester area?

 

VERY CONCERNED

39%

SOMEWHAT CONCERNED

34%

NOT TOO CONCERNED

20%

NOT AT ALL CONCERNED

  7%

NOT SURE

 -

 

 


QUESTION: Four years from now, would you say that your personal financial situation will be better off, worse off, or about the same?

 

BETTER OFF

26%

WORSE OFF

20%

ABOUT THE SAME

48%

NOT SURE

  6%

 

 


QUESTION: How would you rate economic conditions in Monroe County?

 

EXCELLENT

-

GOOD

22%

ONLY FAIR

60%

POOR

17%

UNDECIDED (NOT READ)

1%

 

 


QUESTION: Five years from now, do you think that the economy in Monroe County will be better off, worse off, or about the same as it is today?

 

BETTER OFF

35%

WORSE OFF

16%

ABOUT THE SAME

44%

NOT SURE

  5%

 

 





QUESTION: I'm going to read several things that families are doing in response to current economic conditions.  Please tell me if each applies to
your household.

 


- Paying much more attention to budgeting expenses?

 

YES

86%

NO

14%

 

 


- Spending less and saving more?

 

YES

66%

NO

34%

 

 


-  Have put off needed purchases?

 

YES

55%

NO

45%

 

 


- Have put off vacations, purchases of luxury items or other non-essentials?

 

YES

73%

NO

27%

 

 


- Have discussed household finances with children or other family members other than spouse?

 

YES

51%

NO

49%

 

 


- Have changed or delayed plans for college, marriage, children, retirement or other major life decisions?

 

YES

26%

NO

74%

 

 





QUESTION: I'm going to read a brief list of institutions, please tell me how much trust you have in each.  That is, a great deal of trust, a fair
amount, not too much or not at all.

 


- FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

 

A GREAT DEAL

  1%

A FAIR AMOUNT

49%

NOT TOO MUCH

30%

NOT AT ALL

20%

NOT SURE

-

 

 


- STATE GOVERNMENT

 

 A GREAT DEAL

 -

A FAIR AMOUNT

22%

NOT TOO MUCH

34%

NOT AT ALL

44%

NOT SURE

-

 

 


- LOCAL GOVERNMENT

 

A GREAT DEAL

  7%

A FAIR AMOUNT

70%

NOT TOO MUCH

11%

NOT AT ALL

11%

NOT SURE

 1%

 

 


SPLIT SAMPLE:

 


QUESTION (Version A n=252): Do you support or oppose repealing the health care reform plan approved by Congress and signed into law by President
Obama?

 

SUPPORT REPEAL

48%

OPPOSE REPEAL

40%

UNDECIDED

12%

 

 


QUESTION (Version B n=248): The health care reform plan approved by Congress and signed into law by President Obama, includes reforms that prohibit
insurance companies from discrimination based on pre-existing medical conditions, extend coverage to dependents up to age 26 and ban lifetime
limits on coverage.  Do you support or oppose repealing the health care reform plan?

 

SUPPORT REPEAL

45%

OPPOSE REPEAL

49%

UNDECIDED

  6%

 


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose mayoral control of the Rochester School District?

 

SUPPORT

51%

OPPOSE

30%

UNDECIDED

19%

 

 


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose wine sales in grocery stores?

 

SUPPORT

46%

OPPOSE

43%

UNDECIDED

11%

 

 


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose a state Constitutional Convention?

 

SUPPORT

56%

OPPOSE

15%

UNDECIDED

29%

 

 

 



QUESTION: Do you support or oppose allowing wind power turbines off the shores of Lake Ontario?

 

SUPPORT

68%

OPPOSE

17%

UNDECIDED

15%

 

 


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose state efforts to collect state taxes on tobacco sales in Native American reservations made to non-Native
American?

 

 

SUPPORT

53%

OPPOSE

40%

UNDECIDED

 7%

 

 


QUESTION: Do you support or oppose the proposed Islamic cultural center near Ground Zero in Manhattan?

 

 

SUPPORT

37%

OPPOSE

48%

UNDECIDED

15%

 

 

 

 

 

    



Finally, just a few last questions about you and your household:

 


- What is your current official party voter registration?

 

DEMOCRAT

184

37%

REPUBLICAN

166

35%

INDEPENDENT - NON-AFFILIATED

113

23%

CONSERVATIVE PARTY

16

 3%

TEA PARTY

  5

 1%

OTHER

16

3%

 

 


 - Do you currently live within the City of Rochester, or in one of the surrounding suburbs?  

 

CITY ROCHESTER

133

27%

SUBURBS

367

73%

 

 


- What is the highest level of education you have completed?

 

HIGH SCHOOL (OR LESS)

 88

18%

SOME COLLEGE

126

25%

COLLEGE GRADUATE

203

41%

GRADUATE DEGREE

83

17%

 

 


- What is your age?

 

18-34

 44

 9%

35-49

155

31%

50-64

194

39%

65+

 107

21%

 

 


- Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

 

WHITE or CAUCASIAN

434

87%

BLACK or AFRICAN-AMERICAN

 51

10%

HISPANIC or LATINO

  6

 1%

ASIAN or OTHER

  4

 1%

REFUSED

  5

 1%

 

 


- NOTE SEX:

 

MALE

241

48%

FEMALE

259

52%